Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.589874 0.761414 0.955400 1.188322 1.457725 1.756975 2.111916
2025-09-07 0.375395 0.593859 0.873260 1.244356 1.712026 2.270254 2.975088
2025-09-14 0.237773 0.467357 0.799427 1.282765 1.937356 2.764205 3.858086
2025-09-21 0.146395 0.366104 0.726941 1.299373 2.125148 3.218498 4.719809
2025-09-28 0.082430 0.275641 0.640985 1.273154 2.241163 3.578384 5.475020
2025-10-05 0.049069 0.222435 0.597359 1.296924 2.421716 4.028181 6.363721
2025-10-12 0.027174 0.177281 0.552283 1.305880 2.573998 4.440388 7.213457
2025-10-19 0.011955 0.131173 0.487202 1.264911 2.638628 4.723926 7.890775
2025-10-26 0.004467 0.097512 0.434756 1.234187 2.711245 5.016502 8.585296
2025-11-02 0.001543 0.077294 0.406534 1.243491 2.847559 5.406619 9.427899
2025-11-09 0.000201 0.054977 0.359281 1.202566 2.889869 5.650201 10.061190
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.047397 0.355727 1.255667 3.101587 6.164456 11.104754
2025-11-23 NaN 0.035950 0.331268 1.258215 3.224359 6.548462 11.975989
2025-11-30 NaN 0.032541 0.338391 1.338140 3.497464 7.184711 13.243939
2025-12-07 NaN 0.027511 0.334540 1.389757 3.719185 7.744309 14.409079
2025-12-14 NaN 0.021607 0.320810 1.413052 3.886424 8.218863 15.454660
2025-12-21 NaN 0.014654 0.291550 1.388131 3.955002 8.530063 16.254816
2025-12-28 NaN 0.011296 0.281496 1.414822 4.128233 9.021041 17.342130
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008137 0.266986 1.425074 4.266823 9.455466 18.347794
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004604 0.237470 1.381915 4.288789 9.688468 19.040011
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002463 0.213410 1.349432 4.329520 9.953149 19.785474
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001507 0.202610 1.359418 4.463116 10.383709 20.802319
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000566 0.178840 1.315930 4.472766 10.592752 21.465611